Forget the rest - Nico is still the challenge to Lewis
@F1BetPreview @Morgie247
Round 6 of the Formula 1 2014 season takes us to Monte Carlo for the Monaco Grand Prix, a track full of history and a race full of intrigue.
This week Red Bull rightly claimed that the power unit driving Mercedes to a 2014 Constructors Championship is the major difference between the manufacturers and their drivers will not be too far behind the Silver Arrows in Monaco. A similar story was told in Barcelona and look how that panned out.
This week Red Bull rightly claimed that the power unit driving Mercedes to a 2014 Constructors Championship is the major difference between the manufacturers and their drivers will not be too far behind the Silver Arrows in Monaco. A similar story was told in Barcelona and look how that panned out.
FP1 proved that Red Bull are close, with Ricciardo coming up short by 2 and a half tenths. The gap may make Mercedes sweat a touch but they won't be needing buckets, it's all about inter-team battles again this weekend.
Perez has battled back against Hulkenburg and I expect him to qualify quicker than his team mate, likewise Bottas in the Williams who has proven his one lap pace is impressive. Alonso will continue his dominance of Raikkonen, whilst Vettel should bounce back against Riccairdo after his podium in Barcelona. But the focus continues up the front.
Rosberg won his first Monaco GP last year after qualifying on pole and racing away to victory, an achievement likely to soften the damaged confidence he's suffered over the previous four races. Early signs in FP1 show there's very little between Rosberg and Hamilton, even if Lewis hit the snooze button once to often earlier in the day. The stage could be set for Nico to shine and get his season back on track, reminding the Brit in the process that there's a long road ahead to the Drivers World Championship.
Best Bets of the weekend
Total Classified Drivers: Over 16.5 - 2.02
Don't be fooled by the Monaco reputation. There will be minimal overtaking with drivers looking to get out of the turbulent air and jump rivals in the pit stops. Drivers will be cautious and content to keep position, rather than test the unstable grip levels of the 2014 cars. Hold your breath round the first lap and you could have some easy money this weekend.
Quali/Race Double: Rosberg - 4.1
Quali/Race Double: Hamilton - 2.3
Other Bets
Qualifying Winner: Lewis Hamilton - 1.86
Nico qualifying on pole last year makes this a difficult call. The German may be 4-1 down in qualifying but the score is 1-1 in the dry and early signs show it's going to be close. This is a track where heightened determination and adrenaline can lead to mistakes, often punished by the Monaco circuit. I'm going to lean towards Hamilton but I can't back at that price with confidence.
Nico qualifying on pole last year makes this a difficult call. The German may be 4-1 down in qualifying but the score is 1-1 in the dry and early signs show it's going to be close. This is a track where heightened determination and adrenaline can lead to mistakes, often punished by the Monaco circuit. I'm going to lean towards Hamilton but I can't back at that price with confidence.
Podium Finish: Fernando Alonso - 3.7
Fernando may get the better of the Red Bull's during the race, Ricciardo and Vettel may fight hard against each other and let Alonso in.
Top 6 Finish: Sergio Perez - 4.5
The Force India look strong this weekend and their smooth package suits Monaco nicely. Perez has decent qualifying speed so should be there or thereabouts come Sunday.
Bets we've made this weekend
Quali/Race Double: Hamilton - 2.3
Total Classified Drivers: Over 16.5 - 2.02
All odds courtesy of Betfair Exchange on Friday Morning GMT after FP1 and FP2
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