Saturday 19 July 2014

German GP - Betting Preview

Nico to bounce back at his 'home' Grand Prix



After a fantastic result for @F1BetPreview, including 4 winners out of 6, the teams head to Germany at the midpoint of the season with rivalries heating up throughout the leaderboard.

The 2 points gained by Bianchi in Monaco is still enough to hold Caterham and the disappointing Sauber off in 9th position. Lotus and Torro Rosso are fighting closely for 7th whilst a fascinating scrap for 3rd continues. Mclaren, Force India, Ferrari and Williams are within touching distance of each other and the difference in prize money between 3rd and 6th will motivate the teams and the persistent development of the car. Red Bull are the only team relatively on their own but the four time German world champion will not want to be beaten by his new teammate Ricciardo who sits 28 points ahead.

It was starting to look like Rosberg was easing away from Hamilton in the biggest fight of all but his first DNF was punished by Hamilton to close the gap to just four points. We wrote two weeks ago that it was a must win race for Hamilton and he duly delivered with the added bonus of Rosberg failing to gain any points after a gearbox failure. 

Nico will be itching to put the disappointment behind him and put on a show for the German fans, yet a confident Lewis Hamilton can dominate this sport, shown by his 4 consecutive wins earlier in the season. The loss of FRIC may drag the rest of the field ever so slightly towards Mercedes but their advantage is still set to be evident across the weekend.

It's hard to call this race and again I cannot see their being much between the Mercedes duo. Sunday could throw some thunderstorms into the mix, making it even harder to predict how the race will pan out but I am really looking forward to it. Right throughout the field battles will commence once more. Could this be the race where drivers and teams stamp their authority on the 2014 season?

Best bets of the weekend

Winner: Nico Rosberg - 3.1

Nico appears to have taken his DNF on the chin and looks extra motivated rather than demotivated this weekend. It's a 50/50 call between Hamilton and Rosberg and at that price, Nico is probably worth the punt at his home Grand Prix.

Winner without Hamilton and Rosberg: Daniel Ricciardo - 3.3

Ricciardo looks strong this weekend and a podium finish is a realistic target for the Aussie. If the track stays hot then Red Bull seem to be able extract more out of the tyres than most.

Qualifying Top Ten: Jean-Eric Vergne - 2.8

It worked last week and hopefully it will again this week. The Torro Rosso boys are always on the cusp of a making it unto Q3 and their pace looks decent this weekend.

Other Bets

Fastest Lap: Nico Rosberg - 3.3

I'm expecting a close battle to the wire between Rosberg and Hamilton, it could go either way.


All odds courtesy of Betfair Exchange during FP3 on Saturday Morning.

@F1BetPreview @morgie247

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